Estimación del impacto ambiental y social de los nuevos servicios de movilidad

El transporte es fuente de numerosas externalidades negativas, como los accidentes de tráfico, la congestión en las zonas urbanas y la falta de calidad del aire. El transporte también es un sector que contribuye sustancialmente a la crisis climática con más del 16% de las emisiones globales de gases de efecto invernadero como resultado de las actividades de transporte. Muchos creen que la introducción de nuevos servicios de movilidad podría ayudar a reducir esas externalidades. Sin embargo, con cada introducción de un nuevo servicio de movilidad podemos observar factores que podrían contribuir negativamente a la sostenibilidad del sistema de transporte: una cadena de cambios de comportamiento causados por la introducción de posibilidades completamente nuevas. El objetivo de esta tesis es investigar cómo los nuevos servicios de movilidad, habilitados por la electrificación, la conectividad y la automatización, podrían impactar en las externalidades causadas por el transporte. En particular, el objetivo es desarrollar y validar un marco de modelado capaz de capturar la complejidad del sistema de transporte y aplicarlo para evaluar el impacto potencial de los vehículos automatizados.Transport is a source of numerous negative externalities, such as road accidents, congestion in urban areas and lacking air quality. Transport is also a sector substantially contributing to climate crisis with more than 16% of global greenhouse gas emissions being a result of transport activities. Many believe that the introduction of new mobility services could help reduce those externalities. However, with each introduction of a new mobility service we can observe factors that could negatively contribute to the sustainability of the transport system – a chain of behavioural changes caused by introduction of entirely new possibilities. The aim of this thesis is to investigate how the new mobility services, enabled by electrification, connectivity and automation, could impact the externalities caused by transport. In particular the objective is to develop and validate a modelling framework able to capture the complexity of the transport system and to apply it to assess the potential impact of automated vehicles.This work was realised with the collaboration of the European Commission Joint Research Centre under the Collaborative Doctoral Partnership Agreement N035297. Moreover, this research has been partially funded by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the project: AUTONOMOUS – InnovAtive Urban and Transport planning tOols for the implementation of New mObility systeMs based On aUtonomouS driving”, 2020-2023, ERDF (EU) (PID2019-110355RB-I00)

Impact of New Mobility Solutions on Travel Behaviour and Its Incorporation into Travel Demand Models

Advancement in the fields of electrification, automation, and digitalisation and emerging social trends are fuelling the transformation of road transport resulting in the introduction of various innovative mobility solutions. Yet the reaction of people to many of the new solutions is still vastly unknown. This creates an unprecedented quandary for transport planners who are requested to design future transport systems and create the related investment plans without fully validated models to base the assessment upon. As some evidence on citizens’ behaviour concerning new mobility solutions starts to be progressively made available, first attempts to update the existing models begin to emerge. Nevertheless, a lot more is needed as some of the transpiring mobility solutions have not yet reached the market, making the corresponding behaviour changes imponderable. In this context, the main purpose of this paper is to provide a review on how travel behaviour changes linked to the deployment of new mobility solutions have been considered in travel demand models. The new mobility solutions studied include carsharing, dynamic ridesharing, micromobility sharing services, and personal and shared autonomous vehicles. An overview and comparison of relevant studies implementing activity or trip-based demand models and other methodologies are presented. The analysis shows that the results of the different studies heavily depend on the extent to which behavioural changes are considered. The results of the review thus point to the need for holistic demand models that carefully mimic the urban reality with everything it has to offer and account for the importance of individual traits in the decision-making processes. Such models need an in-depth understanding of the microscopic mechanisms leading to the travel behaviour shifts linked to the most innovative mobility solutions. To achieve this level of detail, mobility living labs and their real-life experiments and experience with citizens, which are flourishing in Europe, are suggested to play a crucial role in the years to come